MFA Senior Mixed Friday Night Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, March 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
2 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 IVANOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 31%
3 XU Yanwen 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 36% 5%
5 NICHOLSON Dominic A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
6 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88% 39%
7 DE BERNARDO Hugo 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 30%
8 ONGSITCO Mark L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
9 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 93% 55% 12%
10 HEINS Dylan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
11 FELIX Alberto 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 20%
12 OWENS Dinhan 100% 89% 53% 15% 1% - -
13 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
14 KORTZ Ash 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
15 BROWN-LEWIN Noah 100% 96% 67% 24% 3% - -
16 DENIER Frank 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
17 YU Brandon 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
18 CHU Zane 100% 85% 40% 5% - - -
19 SIVASANKAR Aman 100% 83% 17% 1% - -
20 SLOAN Ryan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
21 GIBSON Ryder 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
22 FRANK Nathaniel 100% 48% 9% - - -
23 KELLY Declan 100% 98% 75% 23% 3% -
24 STEPHENS Jacob 100% 99% 80% 34% 3% - -
25 LACEY Catherine 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
26 PERALTA SR. Christian 100% 82% 40% 8% - - -
27 ASTLE Stephen 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.