Fencing Center of Chicago ROC / RJC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Canlan Sports - Libertyville - Libertyville, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUANG Oscar - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
2 MORA Johan - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
3 YANG Andy H. - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
3 ASHIDA Tomoaki - - - 1% 12% 48% 39%
5 SEIGEL Duncan - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
6 SHI Boris - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
7 FAN Sean 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4% -
8 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
9 CHAN Tyler - - - - 1% 15% 84%
10 DAVIS Benjamin 1% 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
11 TEH Tang-Ngu 3% 24% 43% 25% 5% -
12 FEEHAN Conor 61% 33% 6% < 1% - -
13 ZHAO Jason 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
14 TAN Xinlai - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 8%
15 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - 7% 29% 42% 19% 2%
16 CRONK Trevor 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
17 WILKINS Mateo - - - 1% 12% 49% 37%
18 KUE Temujin - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
19 WILEY Conor - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 2%
20 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 1% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7% -
21 CHOI Simon - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
22 TAM Kyle 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
23 EDWARDS Connor - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
24 MCMILLIAN Harrison - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
25 DURHAM Porter 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10% -
26 HASTINGS Alex 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% - -
27 HONG Derek 7% 35% 40% 16% 2% -
28 SYMMANK Callen 7% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
29 FLYNN Oliver 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
30 ZHANG Hanson 19% 52% 24% 5% - - -
31 HERRERA Xavier 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
32 STORER Alexander 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2% -
33 ZMUDA Aiden 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
34 SCHEURER Edwin 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
35 MILLER Douglas S. - 1% 9% 32% 44% 15%
36 KAIHATSU Edward J. - < 1% 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
37 MCGRATH Alex 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
38 TIAN Nicolas 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
39 PANKOTAI Alexander 50% 39% 9% 1% - - -
40 JANG Seoik 3% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
40 LAMAR Louis 84% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.