Fencing Center of Chicago ROC / RJC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Canlan Sports - Libertyville - Libertyville, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 MORA Johan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
3 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
3 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 39%
5 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
6 SHI Boris 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
7 FAN Sean 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4% -
8 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
9 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
10 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 99% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
11 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 97% 73% 31% 6% -
12 FEEHAN Conor 100% 39% 6% < 1% - -
13 ZHAO Jason 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
14 TAN Xinlai 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
15 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 92% 63% 21% 2%
16 CRONK Trevor 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
17 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 37%
18 KUE Temujin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
19 WILEY Conor 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 2%
20 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% -
21 CHOI Simon 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
22 TAM Kyle 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
23 EDWARDS Connor 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
24 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
25 DURHAM Porter 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% -
26 HASTINGS Alex 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% - -
27 HONG Derek 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
28 SYMMANK Callen 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
29 FLYNN Oliver 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% - -
30 ZHANG Hanson 100% 81% 29% 5% - - -
31 HERRERA Xavier 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
32 STORER Alexander 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2% -
33 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
34 SCHEURER Edwin 100% 87% 51% 17% 2% - -
35 MILLER Douglas S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 15%
36 KAIHATSU Edward J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
37 MCGRATH Alex 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
38 TIAN Nicolas 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
39 PANKOTAI Alexander 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
40 JANG Seoik 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
40 LAMAR Louis 100% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.