Fencing Center of Chicago ROC / RJC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Canlan Sports - Libertyville - Libertyville, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 49%
2 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
3 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
5 WYCHULIS Tristan 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
6 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 84% 42% 9% 1%
7 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
8 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 92% 56% 13% 1%
9 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 11%
10 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
11 PECKENS Tyler 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 23%
12 CHEN Raymond 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
13 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 14%
14 HALL Gabriel 100% 100% 87% 44% 8% -
15 YATES Graeme 100% 95% 47% 10% 1% -
16 HONG Daniel 100% 96% 65% 22% 3% -
17 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 96% 67% 24% 3% -
18 LARSON Vaughn 100% 89% 52% 14% 1%
19 SWENSON Diego 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
20 BUTTA Reese 100% 100% 91% 59% 17% 2%
21 JERDEE Colton 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
22 ELDRIDGE Hudson 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
23 GOODMAN Liam 100% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
24 COSGROVE Franklin 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
25 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
26 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
27 MUNOZ Rocco 100% 33% 4% - - -
28 D'SA Thomas 100% 70% 25% 4% -
29 MOUSTAFA Faris 100% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.