George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WU Shaochi | V V D D V | V V V V V V | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 2 | FEAGIN Patrick | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| 3 | PENNER Kyle D. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 3 | TANG Justin | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 5 | SMOTHERS Nathan | V D V V V V | V V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 6 | PRAKASH Rahul | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 7 | CANDELARIA Armando | D V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 8 | STEVENS Daniel L. | V D V V D | V V V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 9 | SHIN Jamie | V V V V V D | V D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 10 | CAVE Rylan | V V D V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 11 | HAYES Nathan P. | V D V V D V | V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 12 | GOMEZ David | V V D V D V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 13 | STULAK Brendan | V D V D V | V V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 14 | MOLINA Rommel | V V V D D | V V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 15 | HUANG Taohua | V V D V D D | V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 16 | CARNALL Hunter | D D D V V | V V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 17 | SZIEDE Kieran | V V V V V | D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 18 | CHONG Eden | V V V V V | D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 19 | SIMS Martin L. | V V V D V | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 20 | KOOB Julian | V V V V D D | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 21 | ABU-AJAJ Mohamed | V V D V D | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 22 | PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai | V V D V D | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 23 | HINDS David E. | V D V V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 24 | MOORE Mary | V V V D D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 25 | LACHER Daniel | D V D V V | V D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 26 | HO Lucas | D V V D V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 27 | HAGERMAN Siona | V V V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 28 | ZORRO Camilo | D D V V D V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 29 | NGUYEN Ethan | D D D V V | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 30 | PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian | V D D D D V | V D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| 31 | HU Alexander W. | D D V D D | V D | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| 32 | SMITHSON Matthew | D D D V D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 33 | GREINER Andreas | D D V V V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 34 | STRAFFORD Andrew | D V D V V D | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 35 | PERI Mourya | D V V D V D | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 36 | PETROVSKI Kiril | D V D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 37 | KRECK Marie | V D V D D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 38 | DAVIS Kai | D D D D V V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 38 | THOMPSON Grace | D D V D D V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 40 | LUNDEN Espen | V D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 41 | SAMPAIO Beatriz | D D V D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 41 | MARCUS Jonah | D D D D V | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 43 | COTHRAN Nicholas | D D D D V | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 44 | COYLE Emma | D D D D V D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 45 | SINGH Meet | D D D D D V | D | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| 46 | GAGNON Charles | V D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 47 | YOON Elsa | D D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 48 | THOMPSON Josh | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 49 | DUDEK Nicholas | D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 50 | AKKALE Reyhan | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 51 | HOTELLING Lisa | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.