George Mason University Patriot Open 2026

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Shaochi - 4% 25% 40% 25% 5%
2 FEAGIN Patrick - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
3 PENNER Kyle D. - - 1% 11% 43% 46%
3 TANG Justin - 4% 23% 40% 27% 6%
5 SMOTHERS Nathan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
6 PRAKASH Rahul - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
7 CANDELARIA Armando - 2% 12% 34% 40% 13%
8 STEVENS Daniel L. 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
9 SHIN Jamie 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
10 CAVE Rylan - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
11 HAYES Nathan P. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
12 GOMEZ David - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 6%
13 STULAK Brendan - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
14 MOLINA Rommel 2% 40% 45% 12% 1% -
15 HUANG Taohua 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
16 CARNALL Hunter - 1% 7% 31% 45% 17%
17 SZIEDE Kieran - 3% 18% 42% 30% 6%
18 CHONG Eden - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
19 SIMS Martin L. 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
20 KOOB Julian 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
21 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
22 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
23 HINDS David E. - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
24 MOORE Mary - 5% 28% 41% 22% 4%
25 LACHER Daniel 12% 52% 29% 6% 1% -
26 HO Lucas 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1%
27 HAGERMAN Siona 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
28 ZORRO Camilo - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
29 NGUYEN Ethan 1% 11% 35% 38% 13% 1%
30 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian - - 3% 16% 34% 35% 11%
31 HU Alexander W. - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
32 SMITHSON Matthew 17% 44% 31% 8% 1% -
33 GREINER Andreas 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
34 STRAFFORD Andrew - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
35 PERI Mourya 1% 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
36 PETROVSKI Kiril 5% 37% 45% 12% 1% -
37 KRECK Marie 14% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
38 DAVIS Kai 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
38 THOMPSON Grace 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
40 LUNDEN Espen 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
41 SAMPAIO Beatriz 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
41 MARCUS Jonah 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
43 COTHRAN Nicholas 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
44 COYLE Emma 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
45 SINGH Meet - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
46 GAGNON Charles 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
47 YOON Elsa 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
48 THOMPSON Josh 68% 29% 3% - - -
49 DUDEK Nicholas 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
50 AKKALE Reyhan 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
51 HOTELLING Lisa 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.