AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #4

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Angela - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
2 YE Charlotte 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
3 BONATH Aria 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
3 WAGENAAR Ava 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
5 DEFENSOR Ella - - 1% 10% 38% 50% 1%
6 YU Elise 2% 13% 35% 37% 13% < 1%
7 MIRANDA Juliet - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
8 WU Avery - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
9 TAN Elizabeth - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
11 HSU Audrey - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
12 RANADE Ira 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
13 KANG Irene Kaur - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
14 MULCHANDANI Trisha 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
15 YANG-KUMAR Aahana - < 1% - 4% 25% 48% 22%
16 XU Melinda 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
17 HASSAN Mariam 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
18 ZHANG Ada 12% 42% 33% 11% 2% - -
19 KRYLOVA Alexandra < 1% 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
20 LIU Yun-Fei 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
21 NISHIYAMA Emma 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.