AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #4

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Angela 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
2 YE Charlotte 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
3 BONATH Aria 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
3 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
5 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 1%
6 YU Elise 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% < 1%
7 MIRANDA Juliet 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
8 WU Avery 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
9 TAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
11 HSU Audrey 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
12 RANADE Ira 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
13 KANG Irene Kaur 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
14 MULCHANDANI Trisha 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
15 YANG-KUMAR Aahana 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 22%
16 XU Melinda 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
17 HASSAN Mariam 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
18 ZHANG Ada 100% 88% 45% 12% 2% - -
19 KRYLOVA Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
20 LIU Yun-Fei 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
21 NISHIYAMA Emma 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.