AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #4

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ABEYSINGHE Sayul - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
2 CHO Lincoln - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
3 MAYA Fabien - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
3 WALKER Jack 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
5 NG Arthur 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
6 XUE Skyler 3% 17% 38% 34% 9% 1% -
7 SHEN Chris - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
8 YANG Liam 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
9 LUCENAY Mael 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
10 MAHILCHI Akil 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
11 LUCAS Aiden 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
12 ZHANG Luran 4% 22% 39% 28% 7% -
13 CHIA Lucas - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
14 ZHU Alexander 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
15 BURGESS Caleb 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
16 YAN Ethan 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
17 GENERALOV Nikolay 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
18 FIRST Johnny - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
19 LAZOVSKY Ryan 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
20 CHEN Collin < 1% 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.