AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #4

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
2 CHO Lincoln 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
3 MAYA Fabien 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
3 WALKER Jack 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
5 NG Arthur 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
6 XUE Skyler 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% 1% -
7 SHEN Chris 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
8 YANG Liam 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
9 LUCENAY Mael 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
10 MAHILCHI Akil 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
11 LUCAS Aiden 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
12 ZHANG Luran 100% 96% 73% 35% 7% -
13 CHIA Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
14 ZHU Alexander 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
15 BURGESS Caleb 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
16 YAN Ethan 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
17 GENERALOV Nikolay 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
18 FIRST Johnny 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
19 LAZOVSKY Ryan 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
20 CHEN Collin 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.