Connecticut Division Summer Nationals Qualifier

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Sword in the Scroll Fencing Academy - Willimantic, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GECKELER James - - 4% 21% 45% 31%
2 BUCHAS James - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
3 BOURNE Zane 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
4 QUAN Noah - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
5 MANCHALA Vedanth 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
6 HOWARD Fox - 6% 26% 41% 22% 4%
7 MINOR Payson - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
8 ULYSSE Jacob - 1% 7% 27% 45% 21%
9 ARSHAD Mohsin - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
10 LEWIS Lochlan 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
11 CARSELI Nicholas 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
12 JEFF Ariff - 2% 12% 36% 37% 13% 1%
13 DAVIDSON Henry 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
14 JOHNSON Matthew 5% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
15 DEXTER Zebulon 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
16 HOWARD Mekai 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
17 ST PIERRE Christian 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
18 HESTER Jaden - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13% 1%
19 WONG Jasper 36% 42% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.