Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-8 Men's Épée

Friday, April 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
2 WANG Nolan 2% 14% 34% 36% 14% 1%
3 SHEN Chris 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
3 MAYA Fabien - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
5 HWANG Isaac 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
6 CHEN Andrew - 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
7 YANG Liam 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
8 LUCENAY Mael 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
9 VIJAY Vyom 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
10 TANG Leon 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
11 SHAPIRO Julian < 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
12 CARNEIRO Alcino 57% 35% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.