Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-8 Men's Épée

Friday, April 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
2 WANG Nolan 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
3 SHEN Chris 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
3 MAYA Fabien 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 HWANG Isaac 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1%
6 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
7 YANG Liam 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
8 LUCENAY Mael 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1%
9 VIJAY Vyom 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
10 TANG Leon 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
11 SHAPIRO Julian 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
12 CARNEIRO Alcino 100% 43% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.