Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - - 1% 18% 81%
2 ZHANG Zoe Muchen - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
3 WILLER Anna - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
3 POWERS Waverly - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
5 DANIELS Jordanna - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
6 KARAVAS Lucy - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
7 LEE Elise 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 2%
8 MENON Maya - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
9 LIU Alyssa - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
10 KABILING Anika Von Marie - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
11 BAO Amelia - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
12 JUILLERAT Tabea - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
13 LAMTAN Trinity - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
14 PUR-RASHID Kiva 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
15 MOSHAROVA Natalia 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
16 KONDE Anika 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
17 MEINING CHLOE - 1% 9% 27% 39% 23% 2%
18 AN Jasmine - - 4% 16% 35% 33% 11%
19 ONG Katherine - 1% 10% 29% 39% 18% 3%
20 MADDISON Estelle 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
21 KWAN Kelly 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
22 FREY Elise - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
23 ALPEROVICH Madeline 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
24 FENG chloe - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% -
25 PORTNOY Elizabeth 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
26 RIFKIN Talia 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
27 PURITZ Morgan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
28 OTAZU Clara 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
29 TSUI Amelia 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
30 YANG Jackie 1% 7% 27% 42% 21% 3%
31 CHANG Daisy Yijin 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
32 CHANG Grace - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
33 TUSTANOVSKY Victoria - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
34 NAIK Annika 21% 42% 29% 7% 1% -
35 EL-NAZER Salwa 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
36 BEAL Cameron - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
37 POTDAR Harper 14% 38% 35% 11% 1% -
38 LIN Claire 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
39 ZHANG Ellie 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
40 HONG Eden 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
40 BHARDWAJ Sara 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
42 TANG Julia 14% 39% 35% 11% 1% -
42 MADDISON Emily 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
44 LEE Claribel 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
45 EDUSA Nayelli 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
46 UY Zoe 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
47 ZHANG Claire 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
48 BORROK Katherine 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
49 KRITZ Sofia 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1%
50 KIM Chloe 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
51 BHALLA Emma 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
52 GAZZOLA Viola 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.