Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
2 ZHANG Zoe Muchen 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
3 WILLER Anna 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
3 POWERS Waverly 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
5 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
6 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
7 LEE Elise 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 2%
8 MENON Maya 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
9 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
10 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
11 BAO Amelia 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
12 JUILLERAT Tabea 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
13 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
14 PUR-RASHID Kiva 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
15 MOSHAROVA Natalia 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
16 KONDE Anika 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
17 MEINING CHLOE 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
18 AN Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
19 ONG Katherine 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 3%
20 MADDISON Estelle 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1%
21 KWAN Kelly 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
22 FREY Elise 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
23 ALPEROVICH Madeline 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
24 FENG chloe 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 9% -
25 PORTNOY Elizabeth 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
26 RIFKIN Talia 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
27 PURITZ Morgan 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
28 OTAZU Clara 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
29 TSUI Amelia 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5%
30 YANG Jackie 100% 99% 92% 66% 24% 3%
31 CHANG Daisy Yijin 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
32 CHANG Grace 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
33 TUSTANOVSKY Victoria 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
34 NAIK Annika 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
35 EL-NAZER Salwa 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
36 BEAL Cameron 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
37 POTDAR Harper 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
38 LIN Claire 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
39 ZHANG Ellie 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
40 HONG Eden 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2%
40 BHARDWAJ Sara 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
42 TANG Julia 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
42 MADDISON Emily 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
44 LEE Claribel 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
45 EDUSA Nayelli 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 4% -
46 UY Zoe 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
47 ZHANG Claire 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
48 BORROK Katherine 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
49 KRITZ Sofia 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1%
50 KIM Chloe 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
51 BHALLA Emma 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
52 GAZZOLA Viola 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.