Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASKIN Mikhail - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
2 CHEN Hayden - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
3 CHIANG William - - 3% 18% 48% 31%
3 TANG Luke - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 24%
5 JIN Noah - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
6 GUJJA Rishabh - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
7 HOREMIOTIS Bennett - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
8 CHEN Regis 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
9 MA Joseph - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 15%
10 DAI Jason - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
11 ZINCHUK Yuri - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
12 PEGUS Izzy - - 3% 19% 47% 31%
13 LANE Sawyer 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
14 IVANOV Andrew 1% 9% 31% 41% 16% 2%
15 LEE Asher 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
16 EFFEL Samuel - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
17 SCHLUBACH Jasper - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
18 YAN Milan - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
19 YONG Connor 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
20 NOVAK Luke 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
21 CARPENTER Taisei 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
22 MILOWSKY Majai 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
23 YANTZ Rhys 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
24 BAKER Bransen 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 4%
25 FLANAGAN Ronan 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
26 JEONG Joseph 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
27 KIM Brendan 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
28 YOU Emmanuel 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
29 CHEUNG Daniel 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
30 YIN Henry Missing ID
31 SALIBA Jackson 13% 34% 33% 16% 3% -
32 PINCIROLI Tommaso 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
33 LIU FREDERICK - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
34 CHEN Caleb 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
35 SCHELTZ Owen 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
36 NAGELHOUT Cole 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
37 YADAV Aarav 8% 32% 40% 17% 3% -
38 LU Shawn 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
39 CAVALLARO Xavier 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
40 MARTELLI Rafael 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
41 VU Trung 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
42 ZOU Grant 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
43 YANTZ Stosh 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
44 YONG Dylan 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
45 TAN Wyatt 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
46 HERIGSTAD Daniel 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
47 CHATTERJEE Josh 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
48 TANG David 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
48 HATZIGIANNIS Paris 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
50 LAW Benjamin 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
51 BACON Bryce 20% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
52 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
53 AGARWAL Avirat 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.