Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
2 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
3 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
3 TANG Luke 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
5 JIN Noah 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 16%
6 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
7 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
8 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
9 MA Joseph 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
10 DAI Jason 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
11 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
12 PEGUS Izzy 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
13 LANE Sawyer 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
14 IVANOV Andrew 100% 99% 90% 59% 18% 2%
15 LEE Asher 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
16 EFFEL Samuel 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
17 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
18 YAN Milan 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
19 YONG Connor 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
20 NOVAK Luke 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
21 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
22 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
23 YANTZ Rhys 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
24 BAKER Bransen 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
25 FLANAGAN Ronan 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
26 JEONG Joseph 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
27 KIM Brendan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
28 YOU Emmanuel 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
29 CHEUNG Daniel 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
30 YIN Henry Missing ID
31 SALIBA Jackson 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
32 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
33 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
34 CHEN Caleb 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
35 SCHELTZ Owen 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
36 NAGELHOUT Cole 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
37 YADAV Aarav 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
38 LU Shawn 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
39 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
40 MARTELLI Rafael 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
41 VU Trung 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
42 ZOU Grant 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
43 YANTZ Stosh 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
44 YONG Dylan 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
45 TAN Wyatt 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
46 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
47 CHATTERJEE Josh 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
48 TANG David 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% -
48 HATZIGIANNIS Paris 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
50 LAW Benjamin 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
51 BACON Bryce 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
52 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
53 AGARWAL Avirat 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.