Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Aaron - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
2 WANG Lucas - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
3 LEUNG Dylan - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
3 OLIVAS Joseph - 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
5 HAMILTON Travis - 4% 22% 44% 27% 3%
6 HSU Joshua - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
6 GUO Woody - 1% 6% 24% 43% 28%
8 DEVINENI Avyang - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
9 KROTZ Nicolas 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 6%
10 BALUCAN Caelus - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
11 KOFMAN David - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
12 HU Jingsen 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
13 GUO Luke - 2% 16% 41% 34% 5%
14 FUNG SHAUN 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
15 LUCENAY Samuel 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
16 SRIKANTH Hariharan - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
17 WU Steven - - - 3% 28% 69%
18 GORDON David 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
19 LI Grayson - 1% 6% 25% 43% 24%
20 ZHANG Luqi 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
21 HERNANDEZ-ALDANA Miguel 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
22 OR Anson 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
23 REICHMANN Theo - 2% 15% 35% 36% 12%
24 NGUYEN Ethan V. 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
25 KIM Ian - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
26 LIN Jason - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
27 LIU Max 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2%
28 DIESSNER Henry 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
29 LIN Daniel 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
30 YU Brandon 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
31 CHAN Nathan 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
32 BUENAVENTURA Camden 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
33 YU Haoyun 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1%
34 REYES Landon 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
35 TOYOFUKU Lucas 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
36 KIM Remington - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
37 SHOURIE Neel 2% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1%
38 YAO Tristan - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
39 LEMENAGER Calder 25% 46% 24% 5% - -
40 QIAO James - 10% 32% 37% 18% 3%
41 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
42 BYUN Matthew 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
43 LIU Daniel 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
44 TAMHANE Sidhant 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
45 SHOURIE Seth 5% 25% 43% 23% 4% -
46 NIE Albert Nie Missing ID
47 PENG Lawrence 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
48 ORTMANN Noah 77% 21% 2% - - -
49 SONG Jonathan 3% 32% 41% 20% 4% -
50 FUNG SCOTT 11% 32% 36% 17% 4% -
51 NEWSOME Eben Raethan Missing ID
52 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
53 NOLAN Morgan 39% 41% 16% 3% - -
54 LOUIE Kyle 61% 33% 6% 1% - -
55 YIM Antonio 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
56 HUANG Eason 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
57 SHARMA Aniket 28% 45% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.