Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
2 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
3 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
5 HAMILTON Travis 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 3%
6 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
6 GUO Woody 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
8 DEVINENI Avyang 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
9 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
10 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
11 KOFMAN David 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
12 HU Jingsen 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2%
13 GUO Luke 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 5%
14 FUNG SHAUN 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
15 LUCENAY Samuel 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
16 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
17 WU Steven 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
18 GORDON David 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
19 LI Grayson 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
20 ZHANG Luqi 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
21 HERNANDEZ-ALDANA Miguel 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
22 OR Anson 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
23 REICHMANN Theo 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
24 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
25 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
26 LIN Jason 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
27 LIU Max 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
28 DIESSNER Henry 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
29 LIN Daniel 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
30 YU Brandon 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
31 CHAN Nathan 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
32 BUENAVENTURA Camden 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
33 YU Haoyun 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% 1%
34 REYES Landon 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
35 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
36 KIM Remington 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
37 SHOURIE Neel 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
38 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
39 LEMENAGER Calder 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
40 QIAO James 100% 100% 90% 58% 21% 3%
41 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
42 BYUN Matthew 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
43 LIU Daniel 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
44 TAMHANE Sidhant 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
45 SHOURIE Seth 100% 95% 70% 27% 4% -
46 NIE Albert Nie Missing ID
47 PENG Lawrence 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
48 ORTMANN Noah 100% 23% 2% - - -
49 SONG Jonathan 100% 97% 65% 24% 5% -
50 FUNG SCOTT 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
51 NEWSOME Eben Raethan Missing ID
52 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
53 NOLAN Morgan 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
54 LOUIE Kyle 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
55 YIM Antonio 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
56 HUANG Eason 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
57 SHARMA Aniket 100% 72% 27% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.