Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-8 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Jackson - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
2 SURENDRA Nivan 2% 13% 34% 37% 15%
3 WU William - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
3 ZHANG Bowen 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% < 1%
5 CHANG Hayden 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
6 CHANG Dalton Missing ID
7 HO Karsten - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
8 MENG Daniel 11% 34% 36% 16% 3%
9 LU Nathan 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
10 TAN Austin 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
11 XIE Caden 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
12 HSU Justin - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
13 RUAN Alexander 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
14 VONTIMITTA Neel 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
15 LEE Cayden 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
16 BLASS Siddhartho - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
17 CHEN Bennett 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
18 ZHANG Axel 19% 40% 30% 10% 1%
19 CHEN Tony 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
20 DONG Alan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.