Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-8 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Jackson 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
2 SURENDRA Nivan 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 WU William 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
3 ZHANG Bowen 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% < 1%
5 CHANG Hayden 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
6 CHANG Dalton Missing ID
7 HO Karsten 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
8 MENG Daniel 100% 89% 55% 19% 3%
9 LU Nathan 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
10 TAN Austin 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
11 XIE Caden 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
12 HSU Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
13 RUAN Alexander 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
14 VONTIMITTA Neel 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
15 LEE Cayden 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
16 BLASS Siddhartho 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
17 CHEN Bennett 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
18 ZHANG Axel 100% 81% 41% 11% 1%
19 CHEN Tony 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
20 DONG Alan 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.