Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 QI Chelsie - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
2 YIN Elaine - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
3 LI Kayla - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
3 XIE ANDREA - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
5 CHEN Laila - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
6 LAI Juliet - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
7 FURMAN Elizabeth - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
8 SUN Alisha - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
9 CHEN Madeline - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 34%
10 ZHANG Audrey Zhang A. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
11 SELASSIE Semara - 1% 9% 28% 39% 19% 2%
12 WARD Imani - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 14%
13 SHEN Sophia - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
14 LIANG Kristy 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
15 ERATA Selena 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
16 KIM Charlotte - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
17 MOKRETSOV Leah - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
18 LIU Brinley - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
19 SIU Mila - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
20 SOLGI Ava - 5% 22% 39% 28% 7%
21 AINSWORTH Esme 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
22 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 1% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
23 CHEN Reina - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 8%
24 WANG Katherine 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3%
25 LEE Iona 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
26 LIU sienna 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
27 FEESER Alexia 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
28 LEE Gloria 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
29 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
30 CHOI Noah 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
31 STARKEY Eva - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
32 BONTHAPALLY Maitreyee S. 19% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
33 STEWART Emily 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
34 BILIEN Yiwen 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
35 ZHENG Lina 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
36 JI Susan 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
37 CHOI Serine 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
38 ZHAO Ailsa 10% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
39 TANG Jacquelyn 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
40 WU Caroline 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
41 KANDHI Aryaa 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
42 CHANG Carina 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
43 DARMAWAN Thea 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% -
44 BIRZ Vivi 9% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
45 GUAN Charlotte 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
46 SALIBA Madison 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
47 TAN Abriel 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
48 NEMAT Kamila 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
49 LUNDH Penelope 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
50 BONDE Trisha 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% - -
51 MENG Yinuo 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
52 GORDON Winter 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
53 LIU Sophie Wei 35% 45% 17% 3% - -
54 SHANG Adeline 34% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.