Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
2 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
3 LI Kayla 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
3 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
5 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
6 LAI Juliet 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
7 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
8 SUN Alisha 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
9 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
10 ZHANG Audrey Zhang A. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
11 SELASSIE Semara 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21% 2%
12 WARD Imani 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
13 SHEN Sophia 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
14 LIANG Kristy 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
15 ERATA Selena 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
16 KIM Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
17 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
18 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
19 SIU Mila 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
20 SOLGI Ava 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
21 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
22 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
23 CHEN Reina 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
24 WANG Katherine 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
25 LEE Iona 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
26 LIU sienna 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
27 FEESER Alexia 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
28 LEE Gloria 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
29 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
30 CHOI Noah 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
31 STARKEY Eva 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
32 BONTHAPALLY Maitreyee S. 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
33 STEWART Emily 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
34 BILIEN Yiwen 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
35 ZHENG Lina 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
36 JI Susan 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
37 CHOI Serine 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
38 ZHAO Ailsa 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
39 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
40 WU Caroline 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
41 KANDHI Aryaa 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
42 CHANG Carina 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
43 DARMAWAN Thea 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% -
44 BIRZ Vivi 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
45 GUAN Charlotte 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
46 SALIBA Madison 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
47 TAN Abriel 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
48 NEMAT Kamila 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
49 LUNDH Penelope 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
50 BONDE Trisha 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
51 MENG Yinuo 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% -
52 GORDON Winter 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
53 LIU Sophie Wei 100% 65% 20% 3% - -
54 SHANG Adeline 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.