Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIA Dashan - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
2 BRADSHAW Carter - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
3 WU Jonathan - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 LI Morgan - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
5 SVERDLOV Seth - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
6 KARIMOV Amir - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
7 TRAN Spencer - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 23%
8 YIN Chujun 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
9 KABA Elias 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
10 CHEN Leonardo - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
11 LI Jade - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 6%
12 AHMED Mohsen - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
13 CHEN Tianjun 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 2%
14 OSHIMA Robert 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
15 LIN Nathan - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
16 WANG Tony - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
17 KIM Henry - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 9%
18 HERNDON Liam - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
19 CHEN Edward - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
20 BENNETT Nathaniel 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
21 GLUSHKOV David - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
22 RIM Eugene - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 4%
23 JOYNER Braylon 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
24 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
25 LIU Adam - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
26 MORI Seneca 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
27 CHEN Evan 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
28 SUH Aiden - 5% 24% 41% 26% 4%
29 PARIGIAN Alexander 6% 34% 39% 18% 3% -
30 CHEN Allen - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
31 WARD Kofi 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
32 YANG Alex 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 1%
33 FU Nolan - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
34 CUELLAR Markus - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
35 HU HAOYUE - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
36 CHO Adrian 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
37 MANN Daniel 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
38 KELLEY Hayden - 7% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
39 LIU Jeremiah W. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
40 ACAR Devin - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
41 SUN Lucas 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
42 ZHAI Junqi 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
43 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
44 MOZZER Nolan 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
45 LEE Elijah 13% 45% 32% 9% 1% -
46 WHITE Aidan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
47 HAN Nathan 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
48 LARAGY Collin 9% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
49 CAO Gavin 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
50 ZHU Yiming 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
51 ROBINSON Garrett 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
52 CHEN Jayden A 56% 36% 7% 1% - -
53 RVACHEV Michael 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
54 LIN Lucas 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
55 LEE Harrison 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
56 LEE Connor 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
57 BEAULIEU Edmund 60% 33% 6% 1% - -
58 SKLAR Davida 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
59 CHEN Hayden 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
60 HE Yurui 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
61 SPALDING Elihu 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
61 LIU George 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
63 MITSCH Aubrey 9% 37% 37% 14% 2% -
64 LEE Ryan 63% 31% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.