Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
3 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 LI Morgan 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
5 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
6 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
7 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
8 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 2%
9 KABA Elias 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
10 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
11 LI Jade 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 6%
12 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
13 CHEN Tianjun 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
14 OSHIMA Robert 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
15 LIN Nathan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
16 WANG Tony 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
17 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
18 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
19 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 10%
20 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
21 GLUSHKOV David 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
22 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
23 JOYNER Braylon 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
24 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
25 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
26 MORI Seneca 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 1%
27 CHEN Evan 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
28 SUH Aiden 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
29 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 94% 60% 21% 3% -
30 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
31 WARD Kofi 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
32 YANG Alex 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
33 FU Nolan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
34 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
35 HU HAOYUE 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
36 CHO Adrian 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
37 MANN Daniel 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
38 KELLEY Hayden 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
39 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
40 ACAR Devin 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
41 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
42 ZHAI Junqi 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 2%
43 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
44 MOZZER Nolan 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
45 LEE Elijah 100% 87% 42% 10% 1% -
46 WHITE Aidan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
47 HAN Nathan 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
48 LARAGY Collin 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
49 CAO Gavin 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
50 ZHU Yiming 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
51 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
52 CHEN Jayden A 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
53 RVACHEV Michael 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
54 LIN Lucas 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
55 LEE Harrison 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
56 LEE Connor 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1%
57 BEAULIEU Edmund 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
58 SKLAR Davida 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
59 CHEN Hayden 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
60 HE Yurui 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
61 SPALDING Elihu 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
61 LIU George 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
63 MITSCH Aubrey 100% 91% 54% 17% 2% -
64 LEE Ryan 100% 37% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.