Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56%
3 ZEYU wu 100% 100% 100% 98% 66%
3 YANG Jake 100% 100% 91% 58% 15%
5 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
6 MASAKI Alex 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
7 KIM Enoch 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
8 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 19%
9 XU Ethan 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
10 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 41% 5%
12 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 87% 24%
13 ORLINO Sam 100% 98% 76% 14% 1%
14 LI Sky 100% 100% 95% 71% 22% 2%
15 XIE Jingwei 100% 97% 66% 23% 3%
16 KURBANOV Tamir 100% 98% 72% 27% 4%
17 CAO Chuck 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
18 ZHANG Peter 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4% -
19 YU Albert 100% 88% 45% 9% 1% -
20 CHEN Dylan 100% 60% 8% - -
22 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
23 CHEW Marcus 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
24 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% -
25 LI Jason 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
26 BLACK Conall 100% 93% 58% 15% 1% -
28 PAVLENKOV Maxim 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
29 TSIH Brendan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
30 WIEGMANN Liev 100% 86% 47% 15% 2% - -
31 LORENTZEN Felix 100% 58% 10% - -
32 WU Aiden 100% 26% 3% - -
33 NGUYEN Tristan 100% 52% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.