Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Alexander - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 WANG Franklin 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
3 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
3 CHI Zachary - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
5 LEUNG Joon - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
6 CHO Lincoln 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
7 SHEN Chris - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
8 XUE Skyler 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
9 MAYA Fabien - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
10 LUCAS Aiden 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
11 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
12 NOVOSELOV Roman - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
13 NEWSOME Vayl Missing ID
14 ZHANG Luran 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
15 TONG Matthew 28% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
16 HWANG Isaac 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
17 SCHIPPER Ludwig 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
18 LU Jayden 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
19 LEE Paxton 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
20 YANG Liam 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
21 VIJAY Vyom 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.