Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 WANG Franklin 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
3 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
3 CHI Zachary 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
5 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
6 CHO Lincoln 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
7 SHEN Chris 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
8 XUE Skyler 100% 99% 93% 71% 39% 12% 2%
9 MAYA Fabien 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
10 LUCAS Aiden 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
11 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
12 NOVOSELOV Roman 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 6%
13 NEWSOME Vayl Missing ID
14 ZHANG Luran 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
15 TONG Matthew 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
16 HWANG Isaac 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
17 SCHIPPER Ludwig 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
18 LU Jayden 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
19 LEE Paxton 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
20 YANG Liam 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
21 VIJAY Vyom 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.