Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAUREYNS Ainsley - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
2 SENGUPTA Jia - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
3 WANG Makayla - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
3 LIN Rongxuan - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
5 DUFF Caitlin - - - - 1% 17% 82%
6 SANTIAGO Hannah - 2% 16% 36% 34% 12%
7 ROBBINS Lydia 6% 37% 38% 16% 3% -
8 GUERVILLE Angelique 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2%
9 MORINAGA Mirai - 1% 11% 35% 43% 10%
9 ZHANG Cecilia 1% 9% 30% 40% 17% 2%
11 DAVIS Layla - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13% 1%
12 LEE Jadyn - 2% 12% 35% 39% 11%
13 CUI Andrea 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
14 WANG Kaylee 2% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
15 LOUIE Amelia 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
16 CHU Lauren 18% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
17 BADDEPUDI Sreenika 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
18 NGUYEN ATHENA 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
19 WOO Sophia 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
20 NGUYEN Amelia 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
21 LEE Alana - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% -
22 ZOFFEL Gabriela - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
24 LUC Madisyn 18% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
25 CLAES Emma 70% 27% 3% - - -
26 VADOR Jaswant 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.