Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 WANG Makayla 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
3 LIN Rongxuan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
5 DUFF Caitlin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
6 SANTIAGO Hannah 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
7 ROBBINS Lydia 100% 94% 57% 19% 3% -
8 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
9 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 10%
9 ZHANG Cecilia 100% 99% 90% 60% 19% 2%
11 DAVIS Layla 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 14% 1%
12 LEE Jadyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
13 CUI Andrea 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
14 WANG Kaylee 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
15 LOUIE Amelia 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
16 CHU Lauren 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
17 BADDEPUDI Sreenika 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
18 NGUYEN ATHENA 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
19 WOO Sophia 100% 74% 30% 6% - -
20 NGUYEN Amelia 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
21 LEE Alana 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% -
22 ZOFFEL Gabriela 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 5%
24 LUC Madisyn 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
25 CLAES Emma 100% 30% 4% - - -
26 VADOR Jaswant 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.