University of Arizona - Tucson, AZ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | NORBUTAS Jackson S. | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 6.0 | 6 | - |
| 2 | SARMIENTO Luke | V V V V V | V V V V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 3 | FOWLER James A. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 3 | LAURSEN Logan | D V V V V D | V V V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 5 | VENET Téva | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 6 | GRAFF Adler | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| 7 | BOYERS Morgan | V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 8 | SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 9 | HILLSTROM Nathan | V V V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| 10 | FOISSET Jacob | V V V V V | V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 11 | WALLIS Wyatt | D V V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 12 | MANDEL Christian | V D V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 13 | COLLINS Vernon | V V V D D V | V V D | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| 14 | ORELUP Austin | V D D V V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 15 | WOLCOTT Charlie A. | D V D V V | V V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 16 | ZAROTSKY Ronald | D V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 17 | BINDER Ayven | V V V V D V | D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 18 | KAPASHIKOV Constantine | V V D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 19 | RAJPRABHU Pranesh | V V V V D | V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 20 | FESTIN Michael G. | V D V D V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 21 | PABLO Jesse | V V D D V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 22 | KING Charles M. | V V V D V D | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 23 | COIMBATORE Dillon | V V D V D | V D | 0.7 | 3 | +2.3 |
| 24 | ASKEW Annabel | V D V D V D | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 25 | PORRAS Michael | D V D V D V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 26 | PABLO Sebastian | D D V V D V | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 27 | SCHWENK Cody D. | V D V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 28 | HERRON Jonathan | V D D D V | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 29 | NEUMANN Freya | D D D V V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 30 | STAFURIK John (Jack) W. | D V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 31 | TAARIQ Tanisha | D D V D D V | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 32 | CHENIER Amelia | V D V D D D | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 33 | CHENOWETH Zachary | V D D D V V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 34 | CUEVAS Tom | V D V D D V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 35 | ROLDAN Madison | D V D V D | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 36 | KELLEHER Cash | D V D D V D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 37 | ANDERSON Donald | D V D V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 38 | MORGAN Elijah | D D V V D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 39 | FORBES Samantha | D D D V V D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 40 | MARTINEZ Landon | D D D V V D | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 41 | HOWIE Ryan | D D D D V | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 42 | ROLDAN Ethan | V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 43 | SARMIENTO John | V D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 43 | FEDERICO William | D D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 45 | CHAVEZ Andres | D D V D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 46 | SMITH Samuel J. | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 47 | FELDMAN Louis | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 48 | KEYSER PACHECO ofelia | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 49 | CAVAZOS Sophia | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 50 | GRADO Marley | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 51 | ALLEN Sydney | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 52 | FRUMKIN Lucia | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 53 | DEMIRAL Arman | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.