Tucson Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM

University of Arizona - Tucson, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - - - - - 2% 98%
2 SARMIENTO Luke 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 2%
3 FOWLER James A. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 LAURSEN Logan - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
5 VENET Téva - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 17%
6 GRAFF Adler - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 4%
7 BOYERS Morgan - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
8 SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith - - 1% 33% 47% 18% 1%
9 HILLSTROM Nathan - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
10 FOISSET Jacob - - - 5% 32% 63%
11 WALLIS Wyatt - 4% 22% 41% 26% 6% 1%
12 MANDEL Christian - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
13 COLLINS Vernon - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
14 ORELUP Austin - 3% 20% 39% 31% 7%
15 WOLCOTT Charlie A. - 1% 7% 31% 49% 12%
16 ZAROTSKY Ronald - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
17 BINDER Ayven - 2% 13% 33% 37% 16% -
18 KAPASHIKOV Constantine - 1% 8% 36% 47% 9% -
19 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 1% 24% 45% 26% 4% -
20 FESTIN Michael G. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
21 PABLO Jesse 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
22 KING Charles M. - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
23 COIMBATORE Dillon 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
24 ASKEW Annabel - - 1% 20% 50% 27% 2%
25 PORRAS Michael - 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
26 PABLO Sebastian - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
27 SCHWENK Cody D. - 1% 13% 36% 37% 12% 1%
28 HERRON Jonathan 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
29 NEUMANN Freya 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
30 STAFURIK John (Jack) W. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3%
31 TAARIQ Tanisha 1% 16% 66% 15% 1% - -
32 CHENIER Amelia 10% 39% 41% 9% 1% - -
33 CHENOWETH Zachary 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
34 CUEVAS Tom - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% -
35 ROLDAN Madison 52% 38% 10% 1% - -
36 KELLEHER Cash 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
37 ANDERSON Donald 12% 35% 34% 15% 4% - -
38 MORGAN Elijah 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
39 FORBES Samantha 7% 47% 37% 8% 1% - -
40 MARTINEZ Landon 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
41 HOWIE Ryan 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
42 ROLDAN Ethan 2% 19% 41% 31% 7% -
43 SARMIENTO John 32% 48% 17% 2% - - -
43 FEDERICO William 2% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1% -
45 CHAVEZ Andres 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
46 SMITH Samuel J. 9% 37% 37% 15% 2% -
47 FELDMAN Louis 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
48 KEYSER PACHECO ofelia 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
49 CAVAZOS Sophia 56% 37% 7% - - - -
50 GRADO Marley 3% 26% 43% 23% 5% -
51 ALLEN Sydney 35% 52% 12% 1% - -
52 FRUMKIN Lucia 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
53 DEMIRAL Arman 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.