2026 TCFC April Challenges

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 52% 10%
2 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 28%
3 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 100% 100% 92% 59% 14%
3 CHO Joseph 100% 100% 96% 72% 27%
5 TAKATA Benjamin 100% 98% 83% 39%
6 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 100% 100% 96% 75% 30% 3%
7 DRAWZ Chase 100% 71% 22% 3% -
8 LIMER Avi 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
9 PREIDL Matthias 100% 78% 31% 4%
10 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 65%
11 SOTO Michael 100% 71% 25% 3%
12 YATES Graeme 100% 97% 75% 29% 4%
13 BISSEN Quinn 100% 99% 86% 44% 9%
14 OBERLY Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
15 LEUNG Matthias 100% 88% 52% 14% - -
16 PETERSON Penelope 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
17 SANFORD Wesley 100% 100% 95% 62% 12%
18 LEE Wilson 100% 89% 53% 16% 1% -
19 BENGTSON Jasmine 100% 90% 53% 14% 1% -
20 CAVEN Emerald 100% 83% 38% 5% - -
21 HONEK Kyle 100% 99% 90% 51% 12% -
22 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 92% 59% 16%
23 STOLTZ Chase 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
24 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
24 MINGO Ron 100% 99% 78% 34% 6% -
26 AURÈLIUS Adel 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
27 JOHN Elsa 100% 39% 5% - -
28 RUBIN Joshua 100% 63% 17% 2% -
29 WILLER Ryan 100% 83% 42% 9% - -
31 JORGENSEN Rebekah 100% 86% 35% 4% -
32 TELCI Arya 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
33 MIEST Davis 100% 63% 13% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.