DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
2 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
3 RAFIDI Joseph (Joey) F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 97% 68% 24% 3% -
5 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 62%
6 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 13%
7 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
8 GUO Benjamin 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
9 LIN Haley 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8% < 1%
10 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
11 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
12 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 87% 44% 9% 1% -
13 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 2%
14 DELONG Mike 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
15 PAN Colin 100% 100% 96% 75% 30% 2%
16 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 29%
17 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
18 ZHU Yiming 100% 98% 82% 42% 5% -
19 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 29%
20 SWICK Kerry J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 5%
21 CHONG Eden 100% 85% 43% 9% - -
22 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
23 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
24 CASH William Li 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
25 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
26 MOLINA Rommel 100% 89% 32% 5% - - -
27 GALIOTE James 100% 98% 75% 31% 6% - -
28 VELLALA Avinash 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
29 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 27%
30 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 100% 95% 67% 17% 1%
31 QU RuiTing 100% 91% 57% 15% 1% -
32 DAVIS Kai 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
33 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
34 CHANEY Charles 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
35 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 94% 61% 18% 2% -
36 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 97% 66% 23% 3% -
37 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
38 GORDON Hannah 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
39 KENDLER Micah 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% - -
40 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4% -
41 SHIN Jamie 100% 81% 25% 4% - - -
42 SCHREIBER Richard A. 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
43 PETROVSKI Kiril 100% 26% 3% - - -
44 BENAVIDES Samantha 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
45 THOMPSON Josh 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.