American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEONG Katie - - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 REN Katherine - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
3 FOSS Persephone - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
3 DAMBAL Sasha - - - 4% 18% 43% 35%
5 TA-ZHOU Emma - 1% 5% 17% 32% 32% 13%
6 MACKAY Katherine - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
7 LI Yuluo 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
8 XU Elaine - 1% 10% 31% 40% 16%
9 CHANG Norah - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
10 SUN Yi - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 16%
11 WANG MONA - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
12 DEMRY Kylee 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
13 BERMAN Greta - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
14 WANG JiaQi - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 3%
15 PARK Haylie - 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
16 WU Harper 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
17 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
18 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% < 1%
18 NEDOPAKA Kateryna - - 1% 12% 34% 39% 14%
20 KNOBEL Sophia - - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
21 LI Sonia - - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
22 BOLT - TURNER Carmen 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
23 ZHANG Wuxin 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
24 JIANG Yutong 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
25 LI Tira - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
26 ZHAO Selena - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
27 HU Alicia - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
28 JOHN Sophia - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
29 ZONG Eliane 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
30 ZHANG Ashley - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
31 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
32 KATZ Emma 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
33 PALMIERI Giuliana M. - 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4%
34 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% -
35 LIU Chelsea - 1% 8% 30% 38% 19% 3%
36 CROOKS Riley - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
37 HILD Anya 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
38 BARNES Sarah 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
39 IORDANOVA Vela 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
40 CHEN Victoria - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
41 UZAR Julianna 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
42 NANDA Maanika 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
43 LI Tiffany 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% 1%
44 VATSA Shradha 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
45 GOODWIN Julia 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
46 HUANG Zoe 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
47 FABRICANT Kioka R. 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
48 JACHYMIAK Emilia - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
49 MISHRA Riona 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
50 ZHANG Emily 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
51 CORPUS Hannah 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
52 DUTA Lyra - 8% 28% 39% 22% 3%
53 VALENCIA Sadie 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
53 LIU Teresa 6% 31% 40% 19% 4% - -
55 KIM Jodie 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
56 HUANGFU Alice 3% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
57 CHURCH Madeline 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
58 ZHOU Claire 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
59 DRUMMINGS Chelsea 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
60 LEON Malolae 12% 37% 36% 12% 2% - -
61 ZHANG Nikki 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
62 SU JOSERINE 7% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
63 LIU Stephanie 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
64 YANG Selina 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
65 YIN Xizi 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
66 KAYA Lara 10% 29% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
67 LIAO Audrey 63% 31% 6% - - -
68 ARIF Haniya 23% 44% 27% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.