American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
3 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
5 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 13%
6 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 LI Yuluo 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
8 XU Elaine 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
9 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
10 SUN Yi 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 16%
11 WANG MONA 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
12 DEMRY Kylee 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
13 BERMAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
14 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
15 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
16 WU Harper 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
17 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
18 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% < 1%
18 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
20 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
21 LI Sonia 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
22 BOLT - TURNER Carmen 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
23 ZHANG Wuxin 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
24 JIANG Yutong 100% 98% 86% 58% 27% 7% 1%
25 LI Tira 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
26 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
27 HU Alicia 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
28 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
29 ZONG Eliane 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
30 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
31 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
32 KATZ Emma 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
33 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 4%
34 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
35 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
36 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
37 HILD Anya 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
38 BARNES Sarah 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
39 IORDANOVA Vela 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
40 CHEN Victoria 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
41 UZAR Julianna 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
42 NANDA Maanika 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
43 LI Tiffany 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
44 VATSA Shradha 100% 80% 37% 7% 1% - -
45 GOODWIN Julia 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
46 HUANG Zoe 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
47 FABRICANT Kioka R. 100% 98% 86% 60% 28% 7% 1%
48 JACHYMIAK Emilia 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
49 MISHRA Riona 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
50 ZHANG Emily 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
51 CORPUS Hannah 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
52 DUTA Lyra 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 3%
53 VALENCIA Sadie 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
53 LIU Teresa 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
55 KIM Jodie 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
56 HUANGFU Alice 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
57 CHURCH Madeline 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
58 ZHOU Claire 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
59 DRUMMINGS Chelsea 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
60 LEON Malolae 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
61 ZHANG Nikki 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
62 SU JOSERINE 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
63 LIU Stephanie 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
64 YANG Selina 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
65 YIN Xizi 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
66 KAYA Lara 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
67 LIAO Audrey 100% 37% 6% - - -
68 ARIF Haniya 100% 77% 33% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.