American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAKANI Aditi - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
2 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
3 DU Andria - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
3 GORE Amina 3% 22% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
5 WU Yutong - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
6 VILLER Alice - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
7 GIORGOBIANI Ketevani - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9%
8 KIM Kate - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
9 BROWN Marie - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
10 YOON Cora - 1% 9% 33% 45% 11%
11 TANG Jacquelyn - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
12 JI Susan 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
13 SHEN Sophia 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
14 ADEN Aurora 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
15 SALUBRO Vivianna 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
16 DIETIKER Claire 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
17 WONG Sydney - - - 5% 32% 63%
18 LIU Brinley - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
19 MEGGERS Arya 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
19 YOUN Emily - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
21 FURMAN Elizabeth - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
22 YIN Elaine - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
23 NIKOLLA Vivienne - 3% 16% 33% 33% 14% 2%
24 SHERPURI Ananya 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
25 LI XiaoDuo 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
26 CHEN Reina - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
27 KUO Stella 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
28 PINCHUK Yael 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
29 CHEN Laila - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 18%
30 CHEN Emily 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
31 GURTIN Sasha 1% 12% 36% 38% 12% 1%
32 LI Rebecca 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
33 ZHANG Flora - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
34 GARZON Laura 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
35 OLVECZKY Camilla 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
36 WANG Katherine 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
37 CHOI Elina 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
38 FEESER Alexia 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
39 LEE Iona 4% 23% 41% 27% 6% -
40 CHI Evelyn 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
41 MAEDJE Abigail 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
43 ZHANG Aaliyah 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
44 TAYLOR Daria 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
45 HE Joyce 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
46 CHOI Serine 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
47 SELASSIE Semara 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
48 NYE Emma 32% 45% 19% 3% - -
49 DARMAWAN Thea 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
50 SHEK Isabella 23% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
51 PREDTECHENSKY Alisa 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
52 HOCKING Zoe 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
53 LOUGH Abbie 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
54 ARUN Riona < 1% 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
55 LIU Mina 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.