American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAKANI Aditi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
3 DU Andria 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 21%
3 GORE Amina 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
5 WU Yutong 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
6 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
7 GIORGOBIANI Ketevani 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
8 KIM Kate 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
9 BROWN Marie 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 5%
10 YOON Cora 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 11%
11 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
12 JI Susan 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
13 SHEN Sophia 100% 99% 90% 65% 33% 9% 1%
14 ADEN Aurora 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
15 SALUBRO Vivianna 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
16 DIETIKER Claire 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
17 WONG Sydney 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
18 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
19 MEGGERS Arya 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
19 YOUN Emily 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
21 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
22 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
23 NIKOLLA Vivienne 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
24 SHERPURI Ananya 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
25 LI XiaoDuo 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
26 CHEN Reina 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
27 KUO Stella 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
28 PINCHUK Yael 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
29 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
30 CHEN Emily 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
31 GURTIN Sasha 100% 99% 86% 50% 12% 1%
32 LI Rebecca 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
33 ZHANG Flora 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
34 GARZON Laura 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
35 OLVECZKY Camilla 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
36 WANG Katherine 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
37 CHOI Elina 100% 99% 91% 67% 35% 10% 1%
38 FEESER Alexia 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 6% 1%
39 LEE Iona 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
40 CHI Evelyn 100% 96% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
41 MAEDJE Abigail 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
43 ZHANG Aaliyah 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
44 TAYLOR Daria 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
45 HE Joyce 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
46 CHOI Serine 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
47 SELASSIE Semara 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
48 NYE Emma 100% 68% 23% 3% - -
49 DARMAWAN Thea 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
50 SHEK Isabella 100% 77% 38% 12% 2% - -
51 PREDTECHENSKY Alisa 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
52 HOCKING Zoe 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
53 LOUGH Abbie 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -
54 ARUN Riona 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
55 LIU Mina 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.