American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
5 JOHN Christian 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
6 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 96% 68% 19%
7 VINCENT Yian 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
8 LEE Augustine 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
9 BROOKS Grant 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
11 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
12 FRANTZ Ken 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
13 ILICHEV Timur 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
14 KIM Colin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
15 DOBRYNCHUK Nazarii 100% 99% 84% 40%
16 ROJAS Matías 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
17 LEVY Rafa 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
18 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 16%
19 BORROK Andrew 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
20 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
21 PETROSYAN David 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% -
22 KANG ray 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
24 RATNA Atticus 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
25 TAUR Marcus 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
26 PAVULURI Ishan 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% -
27 SHI Henry 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
28 MEROLLA Luca 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
29 GU Gordon 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
30 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
31 TARDIFF Finn 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
33 KO Logan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 3%
34 TIAN Michael 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
35 PASQUALE Roman 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
36 ZHANG Ethan 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
37 JIANG Elvin 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 7%
38 RUBINSHTEYN Leib 100% 85% 39% 7%
39 YOUN James 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
40 LI Max 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 1%
41 VEDULA Anay 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
42 GARCIA Francisco 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
43 MALM Gabriel 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
44 HUI Nicholas 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
45 ENG Christian 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
46 CIECIEREGA Michael 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
47 POLITO Anthony 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
48 LERMAN Elan 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
49 ALI Zidane 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
50 SOHN William 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
51 CHOI Hudson 100% 51% 11% 1%
52 MEYERS Alec 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 1%
53 FRIAS Alfonso 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
54 LIU Victor 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
55 PARHI Kairav 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
56 GOLDBERG Wyatt 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
57 XIAO Lucas 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
58 PAN William 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
59 LOWENWIRTH Xavier 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
59 HAN Ethan 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.