April Saratoga Open Youth Saber Tournament UNSANCTIONED

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Saratoga Fencing Club - Saratoga, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 JECHA Zachary - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
2 SHKALIKOVA Anastasiia - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% < 1%
3 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
3 QIU Sui Pan - 4% 14% 27% 30% 18% 6% 1%
5 SEVERT David - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
6 BLACK Conall - 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
7 YAO Mannie 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1% -
8 LIU Tianxing 1% 17% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
9 ANDERSON Bradley - - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 15%
10 REICH Emily 29% 40% 23% 7% 1% - - -
11 MARSHALL Dylan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
12 KANG Paul 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
13 KUO Natalie - < 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
14 XIAO Lucas 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% - -
15 VADOR Jaswant 17% 47% 29% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.