April Saratoga Open Youth Saber Tournament UNSANCTIONED

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Saratoga Fencing Club - Saratoga, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 JECHA Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
2 SHKALIKOVA Anastasiia 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9% < 1%
3 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
3 QIU Sui Pan 100% 100% 96% 81% 54% 24% 6% 1%
5 SEVERT David 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
6 BLACK Conall 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
7 YAO Mannie 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
8 LIU Tianxing 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
9 ANDERSON Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
10 REICH Emily 100% 71% 31% 8% 1% - - -
11 MARSHALL Dylan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
12 KANG Paul 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
13 KUO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
14 XIAO Lucas 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% 1% -
15 VADOR Jaswant 100% 83% 36% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.