American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
2 XU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
3 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 WANG Lingke 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
5 LU Mengdi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 21%
6 JIN Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
7 KAYE Ben 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 44% 9%
8 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
9 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
10 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
11 LIN Wilson 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
12 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 68%
13 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
14 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
15 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 33%
16 NABASSOUA Djibril 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 48% 14%
17 ZHENG Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44% 7%
18 SHARMA Ari 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
19 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
20 YANG David H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
21 ZHUANG Eddie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 17%
22 OH Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
23 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
24 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 18%
25 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
26 JABLOKOV Roman 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 23% 2%
27 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 3%
27 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
29 KUPERBERG Thomas 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 11%
30 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
31 YANG CHENLE 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
32 HU Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52% 9%
33 HU Weijie 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
34 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
35 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
36 PAN Gary 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
37 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% 1%
38 TARCHICHI Daniel 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
39 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 96% 68% 14%
40 QIAN Will 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 3%
41 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
42 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
43 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
44 DAWSON Myer 100% 94% 68% 26% 3% -
45 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 9%
45 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
47 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
48 CHENG Karter 100% 100% 97% 74% 32% 6% -
49 TANG Michael 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
50 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
51 SUN Nathan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
52 LIU Jeremy 100% 98% 74% 22% 2%
53 LIN Lucas 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
54 LI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% 3%
55 LIU Yilin 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
56 AHMAD Uzayr 100% 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1%
57 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 4%
58 KEEGAN Cole 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
59 FREL Vincent 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
60 SHEN Lucas 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
61 XIA Vincent 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
62 FANG Ryan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
63 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
64 MOON Nolan 100% 99% 88% 52% 13% 1% -
65 DENG Jonathan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
66 PLOSSER Charlie 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1% -
67 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
68 GUGALA Frank 100% 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
68 GOLI Arush 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
70 ZHANG Ethan 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
71 HEBERT SEBASTIEN 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
72 HUA Isaac 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
73 SIELSKI Evan 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
74 YANG Luca 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
75 KOO Jaeha 100% 78% 35% 7% - -
76 MOORE Quinn 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
77 PEARCE Joseph 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
78 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
79 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 100% 94% 63% 21% 2%
80 CUI Mason 100% 86% 32% 5% - -
81 CORDERO Javier 100% 100% 91% 55% 15% 1%
83 MANCHALA Vedanth 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
84 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
85 LIN Alden 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
86 MCGREEVY Gavin 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% - -
87 YE Kingsly 100% 96% 75% 32% 4% -
88 YOON Mason 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
88 YU Oliver 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
90 LEE Ryan 100% 95% 69% 29% 4% - -
91 JIANG Ethan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
92 CHEN Kevin 100% 99% 90% 56% 17% 2% -
93 WU Max 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
94 LIN George 100% 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% -
94 DAVE Neil 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
96 GUTKOVSKIY Ryan 100% 88% 47% 11% 1% - -
97 CHONG Cooper 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
97 YEUNG rex 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
99 DHAMIJA Viraaj 100% 65% 13% 1% - - -
100 ALABI Adriel 100% 91% 40% 6% -
101 WU Connor 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% - -
102 MAN Dylan 100% 79% 36% 7% - -
103 MIN Xihuai 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 3% -
104 XUAN nathan 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% - -
105 PRICE Ezra 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
106 PELLERIN Liam 100% 91% 50% 13% 1% - -
106 WANG Jaaziel 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
108 LECH Landon 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
109 OLINO Patrick 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
110 ZUO Yizhi 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
111 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
112 FOMIN Dash 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
113 RAVIN Liel 100% 79% 28% 4% - - -
114 LIU Max 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
115 HOFFMAN Dean 100% 51% 6% - - - -
116 LACORAZZA Logan 100% 33% 3% - - -
116 HE Ryan 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
118 SUN Andrew 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
119 WU Yulen 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
120 ZHAO Ethan 100% 24% 2% - -
121 SINGH Arihaan 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
123 TAN Winston 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
124 PINSKY Felix 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
125 GOLDSTEIN Tate 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
126 TAYLOR Artem 100% 37% 6% - - - -
127 DEGRYSE Leopold 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
127 BHATTACHARYA Dhruv 100% 36% 5% - - - -
129 NAYAK Saideep 100% 42% 4% - - - -
130 KRAMER Micah 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.