American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
2 LUO lucy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
3 ZHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
5 WEN Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
6 WANG Joann 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
7 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
8 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
9 KUANG Bella 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 17%
10 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 75%
11 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
13 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
14 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
15 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 12%
16 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
17 VO Evelyn 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
18 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
18 LIU Bella 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 11%
20 CHUNG Sera 100% 98% 78% 21%
21 LI Beatrice 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
22 PAEK Ellie 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
22 MCCLAIN Madison 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20% 2%
24 LI Doreen 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
25 GOMEZ Amelia 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
26 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
27 WANG Sally 100% 98% 72% 29% 6% -
28 DONG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 2%
28 KIM Lael 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 3% -
30 WANG Allyson 100% 100% 95% 60%
31 JU Victoria 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
32 SON Ayoung 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
33 LIN Claire 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 18%
34 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 1%
35 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
36 ZHU Alicia 100% 93% 63% 21% 1% -
37 HUANG Jiayu 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% -
38 ZHENG Rachel 100% 99% 88% 53% 13% 1%
39 LU Sophia 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
40 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
41 MCCLAIN Grayce 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
42 WANG Manny 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
43 JIN Emily 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
44 LEE Annabel 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
45 CHEN Sophie 100% 98% 72% 30% 6% -
46 WANG Kelly 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
47 JOVANOVIC Una 100% 92% 61% 20% 1% -
48 KIRBY Emelie 100% 97% 71% 29% 5% -
49 LEVITE Lilliana 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
50 NIVAS Tvisha 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
51 FANG Yining 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
52 HALL Olivia 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2% -
53 SUN YOUXI 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
54 ZELDIN Nina 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% - -
55 XU Elaina 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
56 RUPARELIYA Alisha 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
57 WANG Jacy 100% 45% 6% -
58 PATEL Tiana 100% 88% 47% 12% 1% -
59 JIN Kerina 100% 92% 59% 19% 1% -
59 WANG Heidi 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
61 SUI Jessie 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
62 PAN Nina 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
63 DOMINIK Eliana 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
64 POONIA Akira 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
65 LAVOIE Cecilia 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
66 CHANG Paige Yijae 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
67 TAN Noelle 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
68 GUTKOVSKIY Chloe 100% 76% 19% 1%
69 ZHANG Ruozhu 100% 100% 82% 39% 7% - -
70 CHOUDRY Charlotte 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
70 CHIANG Ellie 100% 71% 27% 4% - -
70 WANG Amelia 100% 18% 1% - - -
73 CAO Vivien 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
73 CLOUD Cailynn 100% 38% 6% - - -
75 KIM Lisel 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
75 JAIN Adab 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
77 ANDROSENKO Aleksandra 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.