American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 3:45 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUCAS William - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
2 KIM seoha - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
3 TSAO Oliver - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
3 AYDOGDU Hakan - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
5 PORTER Dupree - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
6 AGARWAAL Yohan - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
7 HENDERSON Lucas - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
7 WANG Theodore - 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
9 ZHANG Shaoxuan - 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
10 DAI Zihou - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
11 WITCZAK Mateus - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
12 BAI Evan - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
13 MCDONALD Finn - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
14 LIU Marvin - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
15 WAXLER Ryan - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
16 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
17 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 21%
18 BARENBOYM Michael - 4% 20% 37% 30% 8%
19 LAMTAN Christoffer - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
20 JI Johnson - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
21 URSU Marcel T. - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24%
22 LIM Brandon - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
23 SO Morgan 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
23 KIARA Kinoti - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
25 LIN Brendan 1% 8% 25% 36% 25% 6%
26 YU xiaodao - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
27 WEI Lucas 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
28 ORIE Sohan 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
29 LIEBOWITZ Carson 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
30 LEVIN Jacob 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 5% -
31 LIU Ryan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
32 ZHOU William - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
33 GONG zihao - - - 5% 23% 45% 28%
34 CIEMINS Henry - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
35 LIN Alex - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
36 ALAVE Kyle - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
37 ONG Dylan 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
38 ZWAKA Jonas - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
39 ROH Jaden - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
40 CHIEN Nolan 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
41 ZHANG Simon 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
42 AO Christopher - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
43 COPP Max - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
45 LAZARTE Gabriel 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
46 SWIFT Owen - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
47 MARCELLINO Robert 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
48 VISH Manyu 12% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
49 WANG Edward 2% 10% 28% 34% 21% 5% -
50 LIANG Morgan 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
51 PADANILAM Thomas 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
52 SALDARINI Glenn - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
53 SUH Leo - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
54 SONG Aidan - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
55 LAU Kyrus 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
56 TRZEPLA Max 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
57 SUN Andy - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
58 HU Jayden 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
59 JIANG Terence 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
60 HELD Lev 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
61 BALE ATMAN - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
62 WASCO Andrew 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
63 LOSQUADRO Joseph 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
64 CHEN Felix 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
65 CAI Jeff - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
66 DE SIENA Salvatore 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
67 WANG Max - 2% 11% 30% 37% 17% 3%
68 MANESCU Miron - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
69 DMYTRUK Alexander 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
70 REILLY Xavier 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
71 GORDON Samuel 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
72 STEWART Samuel 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
73 ZHIVICH Theo 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
74 TSAO Alister - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
75 LIU Eric - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
76 ORTHMANN Tristin 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
77 FREILICH Harrison 52% 37% 9% 1% - -
78 BENNETT Lachlan 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
79 PEACE Sam 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
79 LI Michael 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
81 HU Andrew 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
81 WU Vincent 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
83 SHEYNZON Benjamin 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
84 HAUSLER Jayden 5% 24% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
85 GRIFFIN Sid 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
86 BROOKS Drake 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
87 ZHANG Ray 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
88 STRUCKER Rocco 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
89 HO Nathaniel 8% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
90 SHARMA Colin 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
91 DAYAMA Ronak 2% 17% 35% 30% 13% 2% -
92 FORCE Joel 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
93 WELSTEAD Nicholas 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
93 KURIYAMA Marcus 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
95 LEUNG Arthur 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
95 MUKHERJEE Aryan 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
97 HOUSER Johnathan 27% 40% 24% 8% 1% - -
98 SAYAR Luke 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
99 SINGH Kaveesh 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
100 CHIN Marseille - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
101 SPENCER-EL Elijah 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
102 JACOBSON Zachary 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
103 MENKEN Asher 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
104 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
105 TITOV Zachary 16% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
106 SWAMY Ishar 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
107 SONG Ryan 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
109 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.