American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 3:45 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUCAS William 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
2 KIM seoha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
5 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
6 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
7 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
7 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
9 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
10 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
11 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
12 BAI Evan 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
13 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
14 LIU Marvin 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
15 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
16 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
17 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
18 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
19 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
20 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
21 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
22 LIM Brandon 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
23 SO Morgan 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
23 KIARA Kinoti 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
25 LIN Brendan 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
26 YU xiaodao 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
27 WEI Lucas 100% 99% 89% 65% 31% 8% 1%
28 ORIE Sohan 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
29 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
30 LEVIN Jacob 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
31 LIU Ryan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
32 ZHOU William 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
33 GONG zihao 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
34 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
35 LIN Alex 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
36 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
37 ONG Dylan 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
38 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 8%
39 ROH Jaden 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
40 CHIEN Nolan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
41 ZHANG Simon 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
42 AO Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
43 COPP Max 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
45 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
46 SWIFT Owen 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
47 MARCELLINO Robert 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
48 VISH Manyu 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% -
49 WANG Edward 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
50 LIANG Morgan 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
51 PADANILAM Thomas 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
52 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
53 SUH Leo 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
54 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 6%
55 LAU Kyrus 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
56 TRZEPLA Max 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
57 SUN Andy 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
58 HU Jayden 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5%
59 JIANG Terence 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
60 HELD Lev 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
61 BALE ATMAN 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
62 WASCO Andrew 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
63 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
64 CHEN Felix 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
65 CAI Jeff 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
66 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
67 WANG Max 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 3%
68 MANESCU Miron 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
69 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
70 REILLY Xavier 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
71 GORDON Samuel 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
72 STEWART Samuel 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
73 ZHIVICH Theo 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
74 TSAO Alister 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% 1%
75 LIU Eric 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
76 ORTHMANN Tristin 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
77 FREILICH Harrison 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
78 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
79 PEACE Sam 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
79 LI Michael 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
81 HU Andrew 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 6% 1%
81 WU Vincent 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
83 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
84 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
85 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
86 BROOKS Drake 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
87 ZHANG Ray 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
88 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
89 HO Nathaniel 100% 92% 57% 20% 3% -
90 SHARMA Colin 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
91 DAYAMA Ronak 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
92 FORCE Joel 100% 93% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
93 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
93 KURIYAMA Marcus 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
95 LEUNG Arthur 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
95 MUKHERJEE Aryan 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
97 HOUSER Johnathan 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
98 SAYAR Luke 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
99 SINGH Kaveesh 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
100 CHIN Marseille 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
101 SPENCER-EL Elijah 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
102 JACOBSON Zachary 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
103 MENKEN Asher 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
104 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
105 TITOV Zachary 100% 84% 41% 11% 2% - -
106 SWAMY Ishar 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
107 SONG Ryan 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
109 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.