Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Friday, April 24, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSINIS Alexander E. - - - - 1% 24% 75%
2 STEPHAN Jens - - 1% 6% 27% 48% 17%
3 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
3 MACZIK Adam W. - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
5 CARTER Austin L. - - 3% 20% 43% 29% 5%
6 HURME Tommi K. - - - 1% 12% 42% 44%
7 SUVOROV Yuly - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
8 CHRISTY Peter C. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
9 LAWLOR Lee 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
10 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
11 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - - 2% 19% 63% 15%
12 PEI Suyang - 9% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
13 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
14 LIOU Solomon - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
15 EVERT Todd - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
16 MANDOKI Sandor I. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
17 COX Matthew T. - - 1% 8% 33% 43% 14%
18 GROSSE Michael 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 3% -
19 KMIEC Stephen M. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
20 OZANNE Jeffrey S. - 4% 25% 44% 23% 4% -
21 REED David 2% 17% 44% 30% 7% 1% -
22 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 1% 6% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
22 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
24 KIM Jeff 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
25 MCGRATH Sean L. - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
26 MEGGERS Samuel 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% - -
27 LEHFELDT Damien S. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
27 CHU Brandon A. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3% -
29 WILLIAMS Charles 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
30 MORET Eric N. 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1% -
31 TOMASI John 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
32 CHANG Frederic 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% - -
33 MCNALLY Thomas J. 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
34 KASKAN Peter E. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
35 SUCHOSKI Annika 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -
36 COLE Matthew 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
37 VALENTINE Shem 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
38 MIZRAHI Meir 15% 50% 29% 5% - - -
39 WINKLER Michael 25% 46% 23% 5% 1% - -
40 CHO Hans 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
40 ALEKSEEV Konstantin 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
42 ARMSTRONG Payton 60% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.