Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Friday, April 24, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 75%
2 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 17%
3 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
3 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
5 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 5%
6 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
7 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
8 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
9 LAWLOR Lee 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
10 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
11 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 15%
12 PEI Suyang 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
13 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
14 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
15 EVERT Todd 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 2%
16 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
17 COX Matthew T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 14%
18 GROSSE Michael 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 3% -
19 KMIEC Stephen M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
20 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 100% 96% 71% 27% 5% -
21 REED David 100% 98% 82% 37% 7% 1% -
22 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
22 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
24 KIM Jeff 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
25 MCGRATH Sean L. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
26 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% - -
27 LEHFELDT Damien S. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
27 CHU Brandon A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
29 WILLIAMS Charles 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
30 MORET Eric N. 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1% -
31 TOMASI John 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% - -
32 CHANG Frederic 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
33 MCNALLY Thomas J. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
34 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
35 SUCHOSKI Annika 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
36 COLE Matthew 100% 98% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
37 VALENTINE Shem 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
38 MIZRAHI Meir 100% 85% 35% 6% - - -
39 WINKLER Michael 100% 75% 29% 6% 1% - -
40 CHO Hans 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
40 ALEKSEEV Konstantin 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
42 ARMSTRONG Payton 100% 40% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.