Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet | V V V D V V | V V V V V | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| 2 | RACHTCHININE Alexandre | V V V V V D | V V V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 3 | LICHTEN Keith H. | V D V V D V | V V V V D | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 3 | KROGH Dan Krogh (Dan) M. | V V V D D | V V V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 5 | HEDGES Philip S. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 6 | SPRINGER Michael | V D V V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 7 | PRIHODKO Andrew | V V D V V D | V V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 8 | GAINES Aaron | V D V V D V | V V V D | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 9 | ZUCKER Noah L. | V V V V V V | V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 10 | MEEHAN Justin X. | V V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 11 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | V V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 12 | CRANOR Erich L. | V V V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 13 | KRYLTSOV Greg | V V V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 14 | CHENG Thomas | V V V V D V | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 15 | PHO Eric | V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 16 | KENT Dwain | V D D V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 17 | GATES Darcy C. | D V V V D V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 18 | BLAT Robert | D D V V V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 19 | HABIB Farooq | D V V D V | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 20 | SANTOS Felipe | D D V D V V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 21 | SNIDER Jeffrey H. | D V V V D D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 22 | DENYSSEVYCH Ivan | D V D D V V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 23 | BARTLETT Jonathan R. | D V D V D V | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 24 | WILSON Jeffrey M. | D V D D V | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 25 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | D D D V D V | V D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| 26 | MARSH Timothy G. | D V V D D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 27 | MARINI Davide | D D V D V D | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 28 | RODACHY Jeffrey M. | D V D V D D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 29 | MCNAMARA Scott | D V D D V D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 30 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | V D D V D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 31 | MINOTT Nicolas D. | D D D D V D | V D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 32 | BAILEY Creston P. | D D D D D D | V D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 33 | WHEELER Daniel | V V V V D | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 34 | HUNTER Justin | V D V D V V | D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 35 | JOYCE David | V D D V V D | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 36 | GALEOTTI Loriano | D V D V D V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 37 | BARREIRO Darren | V V D V D D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 | |
| 38 | CLAWSON Brian C. | V D D V D V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 39 | YAKIMENKO Andrei | D V V V D D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 40 | GERSEN Jacob | V D D V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 41 | GAO "George" Xiaojiang | V D D V D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 42 | COETZEE Frans M. | D V D D V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 43 | DELONG Mike | D V D D D V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 44 | HARRIS Robert S. | D D V D V D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 45 | KREMPASKY John H. | D V D D V D | D | 0.3 | 2 | +1.7 |
| 46 | NUDELMAN Aleksandr | V V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 47 | MENDOZA Zandro | D D D D V | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 48 | CAMPBELL Paul | D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 49 | DAVIS Kelly | D D D D V D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 50 | KLINE R. Jay | D D D D V D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 51 | KOKENGE Chad | D D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 52 | STERR Eric | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 53 | CHOI Paul S. | D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 54 | ROGERS John D. | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.