Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Vet-70 Men's Épée

Friday, April 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 16%
2 MOREAU John A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 SWICK Kerry J. 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1%
3 JUGAN Bruce M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 RICHARDS Dick 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
6 TAYLOR Daryl J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 WHEELER Mark C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
8 NEWSOME James L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 5%
9 KING Charles M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
10 BLAKLEY Dwain 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 11%
11 NEALE James H. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
12 DOWNEY Gerard C. 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
13 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
14 SPAHN Jeff 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
15 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
16 HVIDING Ketil 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
17 PATTERSON Malcolm (Werewolf) D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
18 SIMMONS Matthew C. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
19 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
20 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
21 GOOSSENS Bruno 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
22 PARY Theodore 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
23 SMITH Herman E. 100% 99% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
24 TKACH Robert W. 100% 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
25 LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
26 STAFURIK John (Jack) W. 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
27 FLINT James E. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
28 ERTEL Mark C. 100% 73% 26% 5% - - -
29 HENRY Mark R. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
30 ANDERSON Donald 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
31 ALPERSTEIN Donald W. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
32 CORINALDI Greg 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
33 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
34 BRYKCZYNSKI James V. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
35 GALLIVAN James 100% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.