Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | FERRARA Nicholas S. | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 2 | REA Franklin T. | V V V V D V | V V V V D | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 3 | PHILLIPS Kim V. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 3 | LIU Jerry | V V V V D V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 5 | PENTON Robert | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 6 | MATT Chris | V V V D V V | V V D | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| 7 | SZULIM Rad | V D V V V V | V V D | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| 8 | ABDELLAHI Aziz | V V V D V V | V V D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 9 | ROBLES Julio C. | V V V V D V | V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 10 | KOPYLOV Dmitri | V V D V V V | V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 11 | MAKOGON Sergey | D V V D V V | V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 12 | PLONKA Derek | V V V V D D | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 13 | MILLS Matthew P. | V V D D V V | V V D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 14 | ESCUETA Jr Tony V. | V D D D V V | V V D | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| 15 | PARK Tai H. | D D D V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 16 | MAUREL Nicolas | D D D D D V | V V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 17 | ZONG Yujie | D V V V V V | D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 18 | HERRERA Richard K. | V V V V D V | D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 19 | BUSH Joshua C. | D D V V V V | D | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| 20 | DASHNAW Stephen | V V D V D V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 21 | PINTO Augusto | V V V D V D | V D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 22 | CHU Kevin | V V D V D D | V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 23 | GRAFF Jon | D D V V V D | V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 24 | MARGIL David | V D V D D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 25 | WAXLER Aaron M. | D V V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 26 | SU Ji | V V V D D D | V D | 1.0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| 27 | CRETEN joachim | V V D D V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 28 | BROWN Jeremy | D D D V V V | V D | 0.6 | 3 | +2.4 |
| 29 | REMETE Tomas | D D V V D D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 30 | HU David | D V D D D V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 31 | MERCURE Edward (Tony) | D D V V D D | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 32 | KASKAN Peter E. | D D D V V D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 33 | TERENTIEV Max | V D D V V D | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 34 | KRASNICH Mike | D V D D V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 35 | MYERS Brent M. | D V D D V D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 36 | MINOTT Nicolas D. | D D V D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 37 | NEMAZIE David A. | D D V V D D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 38 | SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. | D V D V D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 39 | JEFFCOAT Timothy | D D V D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 40 | LIBERS Alexander M. | D D D V V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 41 | GORMLEY Peter J. | D V D D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 42 | ELDER John | D D D D D V | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 43 | LEAR Donald W. | D D D D V D | D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 44 | MIGHELL Jason | D V D D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 45 | BOYLAN John R. | V D D D D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 46 | PARAGANO Vincent | V D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 47 | WEBER Jeffrey | D D D V D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 48 | SPRINGER Michael | D D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 49 | SUCHOSKI Annika | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.